Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Drexel Dragons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel Dragons -22 (63-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Cohn * | 36 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | +17.4 |
| Nathan Knight * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | +20.8 |
| Justin Pierce * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +15.0 |
| Connor Burchfield * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +11.3 |
| Matt Milon * | 27 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Paul Rowley | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Oliver Tot | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +20.1 |
| Cole Harrison | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Luke Loewe | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Jihar Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Omar Mostafa | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Jamison Glover | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
Drexel Dragons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurk Lee * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Sammy Mojica * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -25.4 |
| Alihan Demir * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Troy Harper * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -23.6 |
| Austin Williams * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Tramaine Isabell | 23 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -6.6 |
| Miles Overton | 21 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Tadas Kararinas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Kris Alford | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Doi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarvis Doles | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter