Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +20 (96-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bryan * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -8.9 |
| Ty Taylor II * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -18.2 |
| Jordon Talley * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Devontae Cacok * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -7.5 |
| Jaylen Fornes * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Jay Estime' | 27 | 5-11 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -27.5 |
| Jeffrey Gary | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -15.0 |
| Jacque Brown | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Trey Kalina | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Nick Powell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mosley * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +14.9 |
| Ryan Allen * | 37 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 12 | +11.5 |
| Ryan Daly * | 37 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 2-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 19 | +16.0 |
| Eric Carter * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | +8.8 |
| Chyree Walker * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Darian Bryant | 27 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +13.8 |
| Connor Rufo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Skye Johnson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +2.4 |
| Curtis Lochner | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter