Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens -25 (65-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Milon * | 32 | 8-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +17.1 |
| David Cohn * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +17.1 |
| Nathan Knight * | 28 | 10-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 25 | +25.6 |
| Connor Burchfield * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +22.2 |
| Justin Pierce * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +16.8 |
| Paul Rowley | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Oliver Tot | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Luke Loewe | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Cole Harrison | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jihar Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Jamison Glover | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Omar Mostafa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Daly * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | -21.5 |
| Anthony Mosley * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -23.2 |
| Ryan Allen * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | -15.8 |
| Chyree Walker * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -22.5 |
| Eric Carter * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -19.7 |
| Darian Bryant | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Skye Johnson | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Connor Rufo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Curtis Lochner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
* = starter