Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stutzman * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| N. Topalovic * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| G. Luzcando * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Nakken * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Dowd * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Boyd | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 32 | - |
| B. Mocsan | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| G. Chivichyan | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Truman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McGee * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dre Marin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Jadon Cohee * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dwayne Morgan * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Aytes * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Christian Musoko | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Better | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jacob Calloway | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Matthew Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ivan Madunic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter