Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stutzman * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| N. Topalovic * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| G. Luzcando * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Mocsan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Truman * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Boyd | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Chivichyan | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Dowd | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Nakken | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McCord | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Kimberley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Sutton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortez Seales * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Geno Crandall * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Conner Avants * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Marlon Stewart * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Dale Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Billy Brown | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tray Buchanan | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kienan Walter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Garrett Franken | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jafar Kinsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter