Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (89-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Spight * | 39 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | -8.4 |
| Jonah Radebaugh * | 38 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 22 | -1.6 |
| Jordan Davis * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Jalen Sanders * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -5.8 |
| Tanner Morgan * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -17.3 |
| Roberto Vercellino | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Chaz Glotta | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Anthony Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Matej Drgon | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Ibrahim Sylla | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.7 |
| Kai Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmaad Rorie * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Jamar Akoh * | 33 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 28 | +5.5 |
| Bobby Moorehead * | 32 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Michael Oguine * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | +12.4 |
| Fabijan Krslovic * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Timmy Falls | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +19.6 |
| Sayeed Pridgett | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +3.4 |
| J. Nicholas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
* = starter