Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +15 (93-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Cohee * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dre Marin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Dwayne Morgan * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 35 | - |
| James McGee * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ivan Madunic * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jacob Calloway | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Aytes | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Better | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Lyons | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mocsan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Stutzman * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| G. Luzcando * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | - |
| N. Topalovic * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| B. Truman * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Boyd | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 32 | - |
| S. Dowd | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Nakken | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| G. Chivichyan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter