Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +30 (109-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Crandall * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Cortez Seales * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dale Jones * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Stewart * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Conner Avants * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tray Buchanan | 21 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kienan Walter | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Billy Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Franken | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jafar Kinsey | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmaad Rorie * | 28 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Michael Oguine * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jamar Akoh * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Bobby Moorehead * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fabijan Krslovic * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Timmy Falls | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sayeed Pridgett | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Nicholas | 16 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Lars Espe | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Spoja | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Niko Bevens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Admir Besovic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter