Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +30 (109-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Crandall * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -19.5 |
| Cortez Seales * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -19.4 |
| Dale Jones * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -16.1 |
| Marlon Stewart * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -14.9 |
| Conner Avants * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -12.4 |
| Tray Buchanan | 21 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -11.0 |
| Kienan Walter | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Billy Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Garrett Franken | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Jafar Kinsey | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -1.2 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmaad Rorie * | 28 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +17.2 |
| Michael Oguine * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +29.3 |
| Jamar Akoh * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | +26.3 |
| Bobby Moorehead * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Fabijan Krslovic * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +16.3 |
| Timmy Falls | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Sayeed Pridgett | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +4.3 |
| J. Nicholas | 16 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +4.3 |
| Lars Espe | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Trever Spoja | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Niko Bevens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Admir Besovic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.3 |
* = starter