Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +12 (76-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Radebaugh * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -12.3 |
| Jordan Davis * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -16.7 |
| Tanner Morgan * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -17.4 |
| Andre Spight * | 33 | 6-20 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -13.8 |
| Jalen Sanders * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Anthony Johnson | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | -6.3 |
| Chaz Glotta | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -12.4 |
| Roberto Vercellino | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -13.6 |
| Johnatan Reyes | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Tyler Loose | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Matej Drgon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hall * | 35 | 9-19 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | +28.3 |
| Harald Frey * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Keljin Blevins * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Sam Neumann * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +15.2 |
| Devonte Klines * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Joe Mvuezolo Jr. | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Konner Frey | 17 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Lassi Nikkarinen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Zach Green | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +17.1 |
| Benson Osayande | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.2 |
* = starter