Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints +3 (65-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Johnson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -5.2 |
| Isaiah Reese * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | +0.8 |
| Takal Molson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 29 | +4.1 |
| Jermaine Crumpton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | -4.0 |
| Selvedin Planincic * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Jonathan Sanks | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Scott Hitchon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Marcale Lotts | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Spencer Foley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Jibreel Faulkner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| D.J. Heath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fisher * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | +8.6 |
| Jordan Horn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | +15.7 |
| Ahsante Shivers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | -0.4 |
| Prince Oduro * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Thomas Huerter Jr. | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Christian Bentley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Kadeem Smithen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Kevin Degnan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Khalil Richard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
* = starter