Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes -16 (70-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Prochet * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +11.0 |
| Matt Scott * | 38 | 7-22 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +10.5 |
| Kahlil Dukes * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | +7.8 |
| Greg King * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Chris Barton * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -11.6 |
| James Towns | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +14.1 |
| Dominic Robb | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +16.6 |
| Kevin Larkin | 12 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +14.3 |
| Greg Kuakumensah | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Keleaf Tate | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Parker * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | -11.8 |
| Ryan Funk * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -8.9 |
| David Knudsen * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Lasse Gummerus * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Tobias Sjoberg * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -6.2 |
| Aleksandar Dozic | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Isaiah Lamb | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -10.6 |
| Austin Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Connor McClenaghan | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8.6 |
* = starter