Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +19 (84-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nelson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | +3.0 |
| Jonathan Kasibabu * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Wassef Methnani * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -11.0 |
| Jerome Segura * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16.2 |
| Aidas Kavaliauskas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Kevin Senghore-Peterson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Taj Benning | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jesus Cruz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Matija Milin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.6 |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schadrac Casimir * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +8.9 |
| Rickey McGill * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 | +23.7 |
| E.J. Crawford * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Zach Lewis * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Deyshonee Much | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 47 | +15.0 |
| Jan Svandrlik | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +13.4 |
| Roland Griffin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.1 |
| C.J. Seaforth | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Tyrell Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter