Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +11 (77-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Williams * | 34 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Zavier Turner * | 26 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Zane Waterman * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Capuano * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pauly Paulicap * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Calvin Crawford | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Walker Jr. | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nehemiah Mack | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ebube Ebube | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Strzala | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Tilghman * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Diago Quinn * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Deion Hammond * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mustapha Traore * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ray Salnave * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Louie Pillari | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Pierre Sarr | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Zac Tillman | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marcus McClary | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| George Papas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Melik Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Ibiezugbe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter