Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints -8 (76-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Scott * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 8-13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Kahlil Dukes * | 37 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -4.9 |
| Marvin Prochet * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +6.9 |
| Chris Barton * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Greg King * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Dominic Robb | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | -10.2 |
| James Towns | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Kevin Larkin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Greg Kuakumensah | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Keleaf Tate | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Penn | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Evan Fisher * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Ahsante Shivers * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Prince Oduro * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Khalil Richard * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Jordan Horn | 32 | 10-13 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | +14.6 |
| Thomas Huerter Jr. | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Kadeem Smithen | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.1 |
| Christian Bentley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.1 |
| Sammy Friday IV | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Kevin Degnan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
* = starter