Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +19 (96-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferron Flavors | 23 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Omar El-Sheikh | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Nelson * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Kasibabu * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jerome Segura * | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matija Milin * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Taj Benning | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Wassef Methnani | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Senghore-Peterson | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aidas Kavaliauskas | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jesus Cruz | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Jordan * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dimencio Vaughn * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Frederick Scott | 25 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 4-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kealen Washington-Ives | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Paxton Wilson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyrei Randall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devine Eke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Ajike | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter