Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton Pirates | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +15 (90-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hampton Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Colbert * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine Marrow * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Akim Mitchell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevond Barnes * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Astroth * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lysander Bracey | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Greg Heckstall | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kalin Fisher | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charles Wilson-Fisher | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Trey Carver | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Scott * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Stevie Jordan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Kealen Washington-Ives | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyrei Randall | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devine Eke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paxton Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter