Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.7% | 11.3% | -11.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 35 | 6-16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montell Goodwin * | 40 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ray Crossland * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Muusa Dama * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mack Smith * | 33 | 9-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Aboubacar Diallo * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jajuan Starks | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D'Angelo Jackson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeVantae Price | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lucas Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter