Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Drumwright * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marlon Hunter * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Christian Cunningham * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Norbertas Giga * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jason Burnell | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jacara Cross | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyrik Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cam Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 38 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter