Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 34 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Drumwright * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Christian Cunningham * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Norbertas Giga * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jason Burnell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Marlon Hunter | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Tyrik Edwards | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cam Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter