Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | -5.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +5 (76-71). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 40 | 10-18 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Terrell Miller Jr. * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Drumwright * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Christian Cunningham * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Norbertas Giga * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Burnell * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Marlon Hunter | 33 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Tyrik Edwards | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cam Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Des Curry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter