Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -6 (81-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksa Jugovic * | 43 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Curtis Phillips Jr. * | 43 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | +2.1 |
| Courtney Alexander II * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | +1.9 |
| Shaq Calhoun * | 35 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | +21.1 |
| Mason Ramsey * | 34 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +19.3 |
| Micaiah Henry | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -25.6 |
| Cade Crosland | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Joan Duran | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Tillery | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delano Spencer * | 41 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Darreon Reddick * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 13 | -7.4 |
| Christian Mekowulu * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | -7.3 |
| Ken'Darrius Hamilton * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +7.9 |
| Armani Chaney * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +16.6 |
| Stokley Chaffee Jr. | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Kamar McKnight | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -15.0 |
| Tripp Davis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Daniel Cummings | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.3 |
| Jalen Duke | 9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.7 |
* = starter