Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -4 (60-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Burnell * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | +18.0 |
| Malcolm Drumwright * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | +9.2 |
| Jamall Gregory * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9.9 |
| Christian Cunningham * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Norbertas Giga * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +8.2 |
| Marlon Hunter | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Cam Martin | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ashton Spears | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Tyrik Edwards | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Maurice Dunlap | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacara Cross | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Windler * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Amanze Egekeze * | 39 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Kevin McClain * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | -5.0 |
| Austin Luke * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Mack Mercer * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -14.6 |
| Nick Hopkins | 21 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Seth Adelsperger | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Michael Benkert | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Tyler Hadden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Burton Sampson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter