Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +5 (76-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ledarrius Brewer * | 38 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Milos Vranes * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Jonathan Dalton * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Denzel Mahoney * | 26 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Justin Carpenter * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Simmons | 22 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Mark Laros | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Donnie Lewis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Ray Kowalski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 35 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 28 | -0.5 |
| Tre' Ivory * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Dayton Gumm * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Chris Porter-Bunton * | 23 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Averyl Ugba * | 21 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Steve Harris | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Zach Glotta | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Richard Henderson | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Ivan Cucak | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Acoydan McCarthy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter