Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +6 (75-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Butler * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Fatodd Lewis * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Darius Thompson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Williams * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Mike Fofana * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Delfincko Bogan | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Kahari Beaufort | 22 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Jailen Gill | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Parker | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Parrish Hewitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Averyl Ugba * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Tre' Ivory * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -3.4 |
| Terry Taylor * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -2.2 |
| Chris Porter-Bunton * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -2.5 |
| Dayton Gumm * | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Zach Glotta | 26 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Steve Harris | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Richard Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
* = starter