Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | +21.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +24 (87-63). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Jackson * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen McCoy * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Justin Benton * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keenan Simmons * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Kinchen | 24 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Henry | 22 | 2-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Jackson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bill Awet | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| David McFarland | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D'Quan Applewhite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 31 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 30 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Miller Jr. * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 20 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Hopewell | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter