Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montell Goodwin * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Jajuan Starks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Mack Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Muusa Dama * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D'Angelo Jackson * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ray Crossland | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Logan Koch | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lucas Jones | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aboubacar Diallo | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Michael Chavers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Justice Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Taylor * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | - |
| A. Ugba * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| D. Gumm * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Ivory * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Porter-Bunton * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| S. Harris | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Z. Glotta | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Henderson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Stephens | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McCarthy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter