Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +37 (100-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Knudsen * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brian Parker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Funk * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lasse Gummerus * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tobias Sjoberg * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Lamb | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aleksandar Dozic | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Connor McClenaghan | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Austin Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Andrea Bernardi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Carmello | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tucker Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Servetas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Buchanan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 29 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zach Hopewell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter