Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | -1.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -5 (67-72). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy Potts * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Nick King * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 36 | - |
| Edward Simpson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyrik Dixon * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Walters * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Antwain Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| David Simmons | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Karl Gamble | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| James Hawthorne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Therren Shelton-Szmidt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davion Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 23 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Byron Hawkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Buchanan | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter