Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +27 (78-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Jones * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Austin Nehls * | 29 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Deion Bute * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eric Bowles * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Talek Williams * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Kohl | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shakaris Laney | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Batiste | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Harrison Kay | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joe Hugley | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kashaun Hicks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donyell Marshall Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Robinson * | 34 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Don Carey * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jonah Antonio * | 31 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chris Wray * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - |
| Bobby Planutis * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Greg Alexander | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Omar Habwe | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Gomes | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Leftwich | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James West IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ace Stallings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damon'te Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Vukelich | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter