Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacred Heart Pioneers -5 (74-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Grant * | 39 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | -5.4 |
| SaBastian Townes * | 31 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | -0.7 |
| Hunter Ware * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -12.9 |
| Monty Urmilevicius * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Taylor McHugh * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Ikenna Ndugba | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Bosko Kostur | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Ryan Layman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Tanner Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Carroll | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacred Heart Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Hoehn * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +19.5 |
| Charles Tucker Jr. * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | -2.1 |
| Kinnon LaRose * | 27 | 2-12 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | +9.9 |
| Joseph Lopez * | 26 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -3.6 |
| Mario Matasovic * | 17 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +18.8 |
| De'von Barnett | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | -18.2 |
| E.J. Anosike | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Zach Radz | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Alex Watson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
* = starter