Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +4 (81-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Nehls * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Joe Hugley * | 32 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 8-9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 20 | +7.8 |
| Deion Bute * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -7.2 |
| Eric Bowles * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Talek Williams * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shakaris Laney | 25 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Mustafa Jones | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Tyson Batiste | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Kashaun Hicks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Anderson * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -4.7 |
| Noah Morgan * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -2.6 |
| Darnell Edge * | 35 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Mike Holloway Jr. * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Kaleb Bishop * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -11.7 |
| Jahlil Jenkins | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Elyjah Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Malik Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Pat McNamara | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Nadi Beciri | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter