Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +16 (96-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Grant * | 40 | 10-19 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Taylor McHugh * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ikenna Ndugba * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| SaBastian Townes * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Carroll * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bosko Kostur | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Ware | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Layman | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tanner Johnson | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Monty Urmilevicius | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Gus Riley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Robinson * | 36 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Jonah Antonio * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Chris Wray * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Don Carey * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Planutis * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Greg Alexander | 27 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Gomes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Omar Habwe | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter