Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | +14.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +11 (100-89). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 36 | - |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Laurynas Motuzis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Jesse Little * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Marvin Bragg * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Drew LaMont | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nick Macarchuk | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| James Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Braxton * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Randall Gaskins * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jamaal King * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Andre Wolford * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Deivydas Kuzavas * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Malik Harmon | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Scott Meredith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mark Flagg | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter