Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dixon * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Terry Winn * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Lew Stallworth * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Xavier McDaniel * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dan Kimasa * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Moe McDonald | 24 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Javon Levi | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Michael Hoffman | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lesley Varner | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Adonis Rwabigwi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Crnogorac | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Holden * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 33 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Justin Davis * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Shon Briggs * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Moataz Aly * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Justin McCall | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Greg Lee | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Fallou Ndoye | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bray Barnes | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter