Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +33 (75-42). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Wrapp * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -15.0 |
| Rickey Holden * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -9.1 |
| Shon Briggs * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -21.4 |
| Jarkel Joiner * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -28.6 |
| Fallou Ndoye * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -11.6 |
| Damiyne Durham | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -18.8 |
| Justin Davis | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -14.5 |
| Moataz Aly | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -12.1 |
| Greg Lee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Bray Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Justin McCall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Randolph * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +23.1 |
| Jake Toolson * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | +29.4 |
| Kenneth Ogbe * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +24.1 |
| Conner Toolson * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +20.0 |
| Akolda Manyang * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Isaac Neilson | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +26.4 |
| Ben Nakwaasah | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Jerrelle DeBerry | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Zach Nelson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | -2.6 |
| Daniel Nyman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| McKay Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Richard Harward | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +0.8 |
* = starter