Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | +13.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +4 (54-50). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eric Terry | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 38 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 37 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Devin Mitchell * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Session * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Williams | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kane Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter