Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Hughes * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Ike Smith * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Montae Glenn * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Tookie Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Jake Allsmiller * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quan Jackson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Shawn O'Connell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Jones Jr | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Coye Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B.J. Gladden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 36 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Gurley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Eric Terry | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter