Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Terry | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Gurley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Munnings * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Michael Ertel * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Sam McDaniel * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sam Alabakis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordon Harris | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter