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2018-02-15

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars App State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 โœ— (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—

Actual: App State Mountaineers -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sikes * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 2 24 26 -
J. Ajayi * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 1 0 0 26 41 -
T. Mitchell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 6 10 -
N. Davis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 9 -
H. McGee * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 9 -
J. Pettway 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 4 11 -
J. Thompson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Andrews 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 8 11 -
D. Lee 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Morris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Johnson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 2 13 26 -
Ronshad Shabazz * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 8 7 -
Griffin Kinney * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 1 1 19 32 -
Tyrell Johnson * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 10 19 -
Justin Forrest * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 3 6 8 -
O'Showen Williams 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 10 -
Craig Hinton 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Hunter Seacat 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 1 2 -
Zach Cottrell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter