Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Jones * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Ryan Pippins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jaizec Lottie * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ben Marcus * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Oliver Black | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Camron Reedus | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Wadly Mompremier | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Cameron Corcoran | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Damir Hadzic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K.J. Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter