Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +5 (72-67). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Jones * | 38 | 6-23 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Pippins * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kris Bankston * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Jaizec Lottie * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ben Marcus * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Oliver Black | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Camron Reedus | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Wadly Mompremier | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Corcoran | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Damir Hadzic | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Johnson * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 32 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 26 | 4-20 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -9 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 36 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter