Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 51 | - |
| Kevin Baker * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Juan Davis | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Darian Adams | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Sikes * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| H. McGee * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| K. Morris * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Ajayi | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Lee | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Andrews | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Thompson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter