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Model Predictions

Model Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +17 (81-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Demario Beck * 34 5-8 2-4 2-2 7 0 0 1 3 14 11 -4.8
Jaylen Shaw * 34 4-14 1-4 4-6 4 5 1 0 3 13 6 -5.5
Artur Labinowicz * 31 1-8 1-5 2-3 2 0 0 1 2 5 -2 -13.5
Zac Cuthbertson * 29 9-16 3-6 2-5 7 1 3 1 4 23 15 -1.4
Ajay Sanders * 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -5.4
Christian Adams 27 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 -3.0
Josh Coleman 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +0.6
Tyrell Gumbs-Frater 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 +4.1
Amidou Bamba 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.3
Trevion Brown 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.3

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Bartley IV * 38 5-14 4-9 8-9 5 3 0 1 1 22 16 +9.8
Bryce Washington * 36 3-4 0-0 5-6 12 6 2 1 5 11 23 +17.4
Malik Marquetti * 34 4-10 3-7 6-6 3 1 2 1 1 17 13 +14.5
Marcus Stroman * 27 1-3 0-1 5-6 2 6 1 0 1 7 12 +2.2
Justin Miller * 23 4-11 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 8 1 +7.7
Johnathan Stove 25 4-6 3-4 5-6 4 0 2 0 1 16 15 +11.4
Cedric Russell 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -15.1
Larenz Stalcup 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.5

* = starter