Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +24 (91-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrick Sikes * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Josh Ajayi * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Herb McGee * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nick Davis * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Andrews | 20 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | - |
| Dederick Lee | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| John Pettway | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joe Thompson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Morris | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Haslam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Devin Epps | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaelon Wilson * | 34 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Hervey * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 6-11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Erick Neal * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Hawkins * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Johnny Hamilton * | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Davion Turner | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DJ Bryant | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Link Kabadyundi | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Scott Muirhead | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mairega Clarke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter