Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles +3 (72-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Jones * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Oliver Black * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | -0.8 |
| Ryan Pippins * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +10.9 |
| Jaizec Lottie * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Kris Bankston * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +15.5 |
| Cameron Corcoran | 28 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Damir Hadzic | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -8.8 |
| K.J. Gilmore | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Cezanne Carson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Brandon Brady | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Hughes * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -7.9 |
| Tookie Brown * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +14.4 |
| Quan Jackson * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -12.1 |
| Montae Glenn * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Jake Allsmiller * | 23 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Ike Smith | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Shawn O'Connell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.1 |
| B.J. Gladden | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Coye Simmons | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.7 |
* = starter