Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam McDaniel * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Travis Munnings * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jordon Harris * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Michael Ertel * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Roderick Taylor * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Sam Alabakis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter