Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sikes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 30 | - |
| H. McGee * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Davis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| D. Lee | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Andrews | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Morris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Marlin Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Eric Terry | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter