Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles +31 (80-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Lindsey * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Ty Cockfield * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Salif Boudie * | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Connor Kern * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -22.5 |
| Tristin Walley * | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Grantham Gillard | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -11.0 |
| Marquis Eaton | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -14.4 |
| Deven Simms | 21 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Jake Scoggins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Andrew Riley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.5 |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tookie Brown * | 28 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +17.4 |
| Jake Allsmiller * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Quan Jackson * | 25 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +8.4 |
| Mike Hughes * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +12.2 |
| Montae Glenn * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +17.6 |
| Ike Smith | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +10.0 |
| Shawn O'Connell | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +3.2 |
| B.J. Gladden | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Coye Simmons | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.5 |
| DeDe Reynolds | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tione Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter