Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlin Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Tyler Blount * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Immanuel King * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Eric Terry | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Forrest * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Zach Cottrell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter